Climate Catastrophe

The UK faces a "catastrophe" of floods, droughts and killer heatwaves if world leaders fail to agree a deal on climate change, the prime minister has warned.Gordon Brown addressed the Major Economies Forum in London, which brings together 17 of the world's biggest greenhouse gas-emitting countries.He said there was "no plan B" if agreement was not reached at December's UN summit in Copenhagen.Negotiators have 50 days to save the world from global warming, he added.'Rising wave'He said it was a profound moment for the world involving momentous choice.The Copenhagen summit in December is intended produce a new global climate change deal to replace the ageing Kyoto treaty.“

Once the damage from unchecked emissions growth is done, no retrospective global agreement, in some future period, can undo that choice ”Gordon BrownAt the meeting in London, the prime minister warned that preparatory talks within the United Nations have reached an impasse.Negotiators, he said, were not reaching agreement quickly enough."In Britain we face the prospect of more frequent droughts and a rising wave of floods," Mr Brown told delegates."The extraordinary summer heatwave of 2003 in Europe resulted in over 35,000 extra deaths.Grim warning"On current trends, such an event could become quite routine in Britain in just a few decades' time. And within the lifetime of our children and grandchildren the intense temperatures of 2003 could become the average temperature experienced throughout much of Europe."If a deal was not agreed, the world would face more conflict fuelled by climate-induced migration, Mr Brown added.He told the meeting that by 2080 an extra 1.8 billion people - a quarter of the world's current population - could lack sufficient water.Mr Brown said: "If we do not reach a deal at this time, let us be in no doubt: once the damage from unchecked emissions growth is done, no retrospective global agreement, in some future period, can undo that choice."So we should never allow ourselves to lose sight of the catastrophe we face if present warming trends continue."Agreement at Copenhagen "is possible", he concluded."But we must frankly face the plain fact that our negotiators are not getting to agreement quickly enough. So I believe that leaders must engage directly to break the impasse."In recent days there have been a number of warnings that progress is stalling, with Rajendra Pachauri, head of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, telling Newsweek magazine "the prospects that states will actually agree to anything in Copenhagen are starting to look worse and worse".MEF is not part of the formal UN process and so firm commitments are unlikely to come from the meeting.It is seen instead as a forum where countries can explore options and positions in a less pressured environment.